General Electric (GE), the renowned U.S.-based light bulb manufacturer, has announced its decision to cease the sale of energy-efficient compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) in the U.S., marking a complete withdrawal from the CFL market, anticipated to be finalized by year-end. This move aims to pivot entirely toward LED bulbs. While GE currently trails competitors like Cree, OSRAM, and Philips in the LED market, industry experts predict further promotional activities this year, potentially keeping LED prices stable for Taiwanese manufacturers while boosting shipment volumes.
Last year, major international lighting companies initiated aggressive pricing strategies, accelerating the exit of CFLs from the market. As CFLs become less competitive due to their higher energy consumption, prices are expected to drop significantly soon. Industry insiders suggest that GE might reveal its North American CFL discontinuation this month, prompting other brands to follow suit. This shift could boost the LED market's penetration rate further, though the commercial lighting segment, including companies like Tang Shi (4972) and Red Dick (5230), may face more pressure on profitability.
Lighting brands are now focusing on increasing the adoption of LED bulbs, particularly low-cost options, to expand the general lighting market. While this trend is expected to drive continuous growth in LED bulb shipments, pricing remains under pressure, making it challenging for manufacturers to raise prices. Analysts note that despite declining retail prices, companies can maintain gross margins by optimizing production costs. Additionally, the growing applications for LED lighting, such as Flip Chip and CSP (chip-scale package) technologies, are likely to boost premium product shipments and contribute to a gradual recovery in the overall LED market value.
Although LED factory revenues may see a temporary dip in February due to fewer working days during the Lunar New Year holiday, March is expected to mark a resumption of growth. Industry observers anticipate an improvement in the LED backlight market this year, driven by reduced inventory levels among major brands and the launch of new TV models. The second half of the year, with events such as the Brazilian Olympics and the UEFA European Championship, should provide a significant boost to TV sales, positively impacting LED backlight demand. However, the introduction of lower-priced OLED TVs from South Korean manufacturers could pose competition, potentially affecting high-brightness LED backlight requirements.

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